Archive for the 'Bearish Looks' Category

Netflix – Immeasurably Stupid or Incredibly Ingenious?

The following letter is a contributing factor behind NFLX’s 75% decline from recent highs that touched $300; although simultaneous announcements of spinning off the DVD division into a stand alone company called “Quikster” and the company’s decision to raise prices by 60% (although they back tracked from this) have created uncertainty in a stock that [...]

A Posteriori Analysis of Global Markets, Written A priori.

Back in May, dear Capitalists, Investment Capitalist, where one may find quite a few more articles that can lead to “actionable positions and analysis” if read by the astute, skilled market operator. I can’t tell you what to short or when and at what price. I’m not a market timer, nor a big fan of technical [...]

Final Cascade?

Back in May, dear Capitalists, Marketwiz came public with an aggressively bearish pound on the table. Those of you that embrace and absorb the rare but valuable posts that come from this site and its sister site at LinkedIn where the same conversations are posted in Proprietary Traders Worldwide, readers were told to get long [...]

A Trader’s Diary from 2006 to the Present

In 2006, there were those of us who knew, like we did in 2000, that something was wrong. It wasn’t because we were “in the know”, rather because we could recognize and think we know how to read a chart, like we actually did back then. What mattered was nothing but the supply demand equation [...]

Commodities-Emerging-Frontier-Global Macro Markets and Analysis

Did I mention the Blue Screen of Death (BSOD) which has had one of my laptops in a loop for 10 days? Today, I saw something quite extraordinary yet obvious: the importance of being in the right market at the right time. Regardless of where or what that market is. For example, in the old [...]

Bearish Macro Signals and Muni Bonds

A bunch of friends whined about my posts being infrequent lately (because there’s nothing to talk about, nor observations to insult your intelligence with other than how the weather in NY and frigid markets in 2011 are somehow linked, as some “live” retail research shops have written). Or my dialogue was too coded and fragmented. [...]

Easiest Trading Week of the Year Ahead

There is a noticeable positive seasonal bias surrounding the Christmas holiday and this will keep stocks elevated and maybe even convince some end of year bonuses to go into the market via the mainstream mutual funds. So expect the Nas 100 to move higher in anticipation of a hard and fast sell-off on the 2nd [...]