Archive for the 'Commodities' Category
By George Friedman The United States told the Iraqi government last week that if it wants U.S. troops to remain in Iraq beyond the deadline of Dec. 31, 2011, as stipulated by the current Status of Forces Agreement between Washington and Baghdad, it would have to inform the United States quickly. Unless a new agreement [...]
May 1st, 2011 | Posted in Commodities, Contribute, Economy, Energy Stocks, Geo Political Re-posts, Geo-Political Danger, global macro, Politics | Comments Off
In 2006, there were those of us who knew, like we did in 2000, that something was wrong. It wasn’t because we were “in the know”, rather because we could recognize and think we know how to read a chart, like we actually did back then. What mattered was nothing but the supply demand equation [...]
January 17th, 2011 | Posted in Bearish Looks, Behavioral Finance, China Stocks, CLEAN Tech, Commodities, Discretionary Traders, Economy, Emerging Markets, Energy Stocks, Financial Sector, Geo Political Re-posts, global macro, Home Builders, Journal Entry, Market Neutral, Politics, Proprietary Trading, Technical Analysis, Trading Discipline | Comments Off
I am always a student of market theory which is dynamic and highly behavioral due to present micro-structure of US markets and the behavior of algorithms, some of which are predatory, others passive, and others just gathering intelligence by searching for natural size. When volatility and correlations spike, you need someone with highly specialized skill [...]
January 13th, 2011 | Posted in Behavioral Finance, Commodities, Discretionary Traders, Economy, Emerging Markets, global macro, Google, Hedge Funds, Journal Entry, Market Neutral, Politics, Technical Analysis, Trade Ideas, Trading Discipline | Comments Off
Did I mention the Blue Screen of Death (BSOD) which has had one of my laptops in a loop for 10 days? Today, I saw something quite extraordinary yet obvious: the importance of being in the right market at the right time. Regardless of where or what that market is. For example, in the old [...]
January 4th, 2011 | Posted in Algorithm Development, Bearish Looks, Behavioral Finance, Commodities, Discretionary Traders, Economy, Emerging Markets, Energy Stocks, Geo Political Re-posts, global macro, Hedge Funds, Market Neutral, Politics, Proprietary Trading, Social Media Marketing, Technical Analysis, Technology, Trading Discipline | Comments Off
If you look at a chart of CME from late ’08 to the present, you’ll notice it’s gone into a flat-line, just like much of the US equity market. GOOG ended the year right where it started. BIDU (amazing split on the year) and APPL kicked ass because GOOG would do no evil and APPL [...]
January 3rd, 2011 | Posted in Commodities, Discretionary Traders, Economy, Emerging Markets, global macro, Google, Home Builders, Microsoft, Proprietary Trading, Technical Analysis, Trade Ideas | Comments Off
A bunch of friends whined about my posts being infrequent lately (because there’s nothing to talk about, nor observations to insult your intelligence with other than how the weather in NY and frigid markets in 2011 are somehow linked, as some “live” retail research shops have written). Or my dialogue was too coded and fragmented. [...]
January 2nd, 2011 | Posted in Algorithm Development, Bearish Looks, Behavioral Finance, China Stocks, Commodities, Discretionary Traders, Economy, global macro, Hedge Funds, Proprietary Trading, Technical Analysis | Comments Off
There is a noticeable positive seasonal bias surrounding the Christmas holiday and this will keep stocks elevated and maybe even convince some end of year bonuses to go into the market via the mainstream mutual funds. So expect the Nas 100 to move higher in anticipation of a hard and fast sell-off on the 2nd [...]
December 27th, 2010 | Posted in Bearish Looks, China Stocks, Commodities, Technical Analysis, Trade Ideas | Comments Off