Archive for the 'Economy' Category

The Death of Osama and the Re-Election of Obama

I always assumed the killing of Osama Bin Laden would trigger a volatility spike in financial markets. More specifically, a rally in stocks, and a drop in oil. However, this event came and went very quietly. The Administration is facing a rapidly approaching debt ceiling and the sooner they cut down military expenditures, which are [...]

A Posteriori Analysis of Global Markets, Written A priori.

Back in May, dear Capitalists, Investment Capitalist, where one may find quite a few more articles that can lead to “actionable positions and analysis” if read by the astute, skilled market operator. I can’t tell you what to short or when and at what price. I’m not a market timer, nor a big fan of technical [...]

APPLE, BAIDU, BAC, C, WFC, DIS etc…

On March 19th, 2008, I made a little long term play when I called the bottom of the market at the very time and price right here on the blog, with a few well-timed follow ups, like this one. By the time we posted this article about the 11 top financial stocks to own for [...]

Advice for New Companies and Entrepreneurs

I was recently asked about the role of Angel Investors in this brave new world of capital markets post “D-Day”, which I refer to when talking about the collapse of 2008 in capital markets and the ongoing rewriting of the new rules. We can call it BD for before death, and AR for attempting rebuild. [...]

Final Cascade?

Back in May, dear Capitalists, Marketwiz came public with an aggressively bearish pound on the table. Those of you that embrace and absorb the rare but valuable posts that come from this site and its sister site at LinkedIn where the same conversations are posted in Proprietary Traders Worldwide, readers were told to get long [...]

Bonds or Stocks?

As short rates rise, I’m getting more convinced we are moving through the first half of the recession, perhaps even past the half-way mark. Once 3month rates broke above Fed Funds, yield curve is signaling we are in the recovery stage and may very well pull Fed Funds higher sooner rather than later. It’s also [...]

Iraq, Iran and Surging Oil Prices

By George Friedman The United States told the Iraqi government last week that if it wants U.S. troops to remain in Iraq beyond the deadline of Dec. 31, 2011, as stipulated by the current Status of Forces Agreement between Washington and Baghdad, it would have to inform the United States quickly. Unless a new agreement [...]