Here’s an excerpt of a Skype conversation with a friend in Russia, clueless as to what I’m even talking about, but perfect oratory for blogging off topic for once, non market chatter, only about the catastrophe that just occurred. I’m upset the LA Lakers were beaten 4 games to zero while they were the defending [...]
It’s not free running a free blog, much less something like a Proprietary Trading site based on Global Macro financial research. Every reader knows that they get something out of the site and for each reader it’s unique. Some like the geo-political twists, some purview based on Quantitative Global financial research. While most of you [...]
With all of the clutter and insanity due to groups turning into recruiting grounds and advertising forums for esoteric and mindless products, I was compelled to launch my own LinkedIn Group which is being emphatically embraced by the systematic and discretionary proprietary trading universe, to my delight. I know many of you are Prop. Traders, [...]
I’ve been slammed with emails from people wondering why no global macro commentary on the recent action. My response has been: “It’s far too late for commentary now. There’s nothing to do or change based on the market operation that was put in place when everyone else was screaming bloody murder”. In other words, as [...]
Morgan Stanley (MS) has rewarded us for being patient. In my last post on January 21, I suggested she would trade down in the low 40′s. If you missed the idea, this stock is looking very attractive as a long term investment for so many reasons that I don’t want to even bother discussing them all here, but I will list them: Forward P.E. in the single digits, Fed is in aggressive cutting mode and lending margins are expanding, sub-prime is expected to get much worse from here and thus priced in. Therefore the risk is to the upside.
It’s great to be a global macro equity trader right now for a couple of reasons I’ll get to in just a second. But first, it’s not often there are widespread global macro strategies being employed by various market participants. Whether you know it or not, there’s a good chance your portfolio has a little [...]
The stock responds the moment the secondary is made public info. The market mechanism begins to work to discount the new information. By the time the secondary is ready to complete, in the final week leading up to it, the stock will pretty much stay locked in a very tight range. It’s actually quite unfortunate [...]
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