The entire universe of “Tiger Cub’s and Seeds” (offshoot funds of Julian Robertson) are sitting on huge long positions in the following high beta stocks:
GOOG, RIMM, QCOM, BIDU, AAPL
I doubt there is intentional coercion, but there is certainly dialogue. What are the short-term implications for fast money traders? These stocks will have support on significant […]
Friday’s rally confirmed by volume.
Biotech Index continues to hover near all-time highs, testing October 2007 levels. Red flag is Accum. Swing Index, which has not confirmed high (except Monthly). A broad market rally focused on Tech, catalyst being USD, will rotate $$ out of defensive stocks (e.g. healthcare). Wait/watch for pullback in this sector.
This is one of those instances where “noise” becomes primary mover and lets the crowd get emotionally involved. If there is a 300 point rally in the Nasdaq from here, the 80 point gap in Google is just the beginning. I talked about the financials when the market was almost 800 points lower than where […]
There’s absolutely no way to predict how the market is going to behave in the near term. This is where the “chaos” meter spikes off the charts. Pure random noise. But one can, if one so chooses, to react based on certain “tactical” guidelines. I would prefer to see some retracement early in the trading day, a base to develop over several hours, and then a continuation on Thursday and Friday for another 10% to 15% from here. These short term bear market rallies are hands down the best market environments to trade the bull side. The problem is that it would also require sitting on one’s hands for several days, weeks even, keeping the powder dry. Since most full time traders can’t sit out from the market for sustained periods, there is a tendency to give gains back.
Morgan Stanley (MS) has rewarded us for being patient. In my last post on January 21, I suggested she would trade down in the low 40’s. If you missed the idea, this stock is looking very attractive as a long term investment for so many reasons that I don’t want to even bother discussing them all here, but I will list them: Forward P.E. in the single digits, Fed is in aggressive cutting mode and lending margins are expanding, sub-prime is expected to get much worse from here and thus priced in. Therefore the risk is to the upside.
Since we’re on the topic of Chinese stocks, I wanted to bring attention to another one of my favorite Chinese high flyers, Sohu.com. This chart illustrates the rapid surge from mid-August that carried the stock for a 50% run in approx. seven weeks. The horizontal Fibonacci lines are projections made from the initial […]
The stock responds the moment the secondary is made public info. The market mechanism begins to work to discount the new information. By the time the secondary is ready to complete, in the final week leading up to it, the stock will pretty much stay locked in a very tight range. It’s […]
