Archive for the 'Trade Ideas' Category
30-year Treasury Yields are about to spike along with a dollar rally. I feel this is the catalyst to trigger a sustained pullback in equities, which will reflect our rising unemployment rate and all the stimulus plans that are slowly phasing out. Equity Long/Short Market Neutral traders will have an edge in this market over [...]
December 11th, 2009 | Posted in Bearish Looks, Economy, Financial Sector, global macro, Hedge Funds, Proprietary Trading, Trade Ideas | Comments Off
Gold went over $1000 and sustained a rally to $1020. A dip to test, and re-test $1000 is likely. This magical number will continue to be used as the line at which bulls and bears continue to thrash each other relentlessly like a tug-of-war match in an Ultimate Fighting chained rink. I’m watching the 70.50 [...]
September 16th, 2009 | Posted in Bearish Looks, China Stocks, Commodities, Discretionary Traders, Economy, Emerging Markets, Energy Stocks, global macro, Hedge Funds, Proprietary Trading, Trade Ideas | Comments Off
With all of the clutter and insanity due to groups turning into recruiting grounds and advertising forums for esoteric and mindless products, I was compelled to launch my own LinkedIn Group which is being emphatically embraced by the systematic and discretionary proprietary trading universe, to my delight. I know many of you are Prop. Traders, [...]
September 16th, 2009 | Posted in Algorithm Development, Art, Bearish Looks, Behavioral Finance, Biotech, China Stocks, Commodities, Discretionary Traders, Economy, Emerging Markets, Energy Stocks, Ethanol, Financial Sector, global macro, Google, Hedge Funds, Home Builders, Journal Entry, Metals & Mining, Microsoft, Politics, Proprietary Trading, Semiconductors, SEO, Social Media Marketing, Tech Stocks, Technical Analysis, Technology, Trade Ideas, Trading Discipline, Web 2.0, Yahoo! | Comments Off
The US Economy, according to the behavior of key market sectors, is on an absolute tear and within six to nine months, the data is going to be screaming “expansion” at a breakneck pace. Bond market behavior over the past several weeks suggested the same except the talking heads tried to rationalize it as “bond vigilantes” wreaking havoc on the President’s fiscal policies. A monkey could have rationalized better than them.
September 6th, 2009 | Posted in Commodities, Economy, Emerging Markets, global macro, Trade Ideas | Comments Off
Game Plan – Market following “yields”. Watch 5 and 10y yields. Technician’s waiting for “right shoulder” will be left behind. Watch for start of retracement to test long-term support and confirm recent bottoms, but maintain bullish view until reversals are in. Campaign – Most “Doji’s” negated. Dow INDU target 8940-9000. 8350 support. DJINET trg= 90. [...]
May 10th, 2009 | Posted in China Stocks, Financial Sector, Journal Entry, Trade Ideas | Comments Off
Game Plan – Ride bear squeeze while preparing for bear raid Campaign – Reflexive strategies off Fibonacci levels March 15 Let’s see how the week starts out. It looks like there’s room but perhaps a quick pullback early in the week? Or, we could see pent up retail demand trigger a gap up on Monday, [...]
March 15th, 2009 | Posted in Journal Entry, Trade Ideas | Comments Off
As reported by Institutional Risk Analytics, the following is a list of the 19 domestic banks taking part in the so-called SCAP stress test. These banks are likely to be under the “too big to fail” category. Thus, if they fail their stress tests, they will be receiving another injection of public funds: Holding Company [...]
March 13th, 2009 | Posted in Economy, Financial Sector, Trade Ideas | Comments Off