Friday’s rally confirmed by volume.
Biotech Index continues to hover near all-time highs, testing October 2007 levels. Red flag is Accum. Swing Index, which has not confirmed high (except Monthly). A broad market rally focused on Tech, catalyst being USD, will rotate $$ out of defensive stocks (e.g. healthcare). Wait/watch for pullback in this sector.
This is one of those instances where “noise” becomes primary mover and lets the crowd get emotionally involved. If there is a 300 point rally in the Nasdaq from here, the 80 point gap in Google is just the beginning. I talked about the financials when the market was almost 800 points lower than where […]
FC Stone Group (FCSX) is up huge on blowout earnings. I indicated in the April 2 post that the fundamentals here are absolutely incredible, the volatility in the markets is the equivalent of a major gold rush, and they are shielded from the mortgage market because none of their trading partners are exposed to anything […]
SLM: Sallie’s showing great bid support after a 4-point run from where the entry was. It’s probably tempting to sell for $19 something you just bought for $15 about ten days ago. I know, “compound it out and that’s a fortune”. The problem is that it hasn’t been a year and this is a volatile […]
Financial stocks in the stock market presenting major buying opportunities but risk is high so trading sizes should be reduced significantly and long term positions built up over time. Exploit the volatility.
There’s absolutely no way to predict how the market is going to behave in the near term. This is where the “chaos” meter spikes off the charts. Pure random noise. But one can, if one so chooses, to react based on certain “tactical” guidelines. I would prefer to see some retracement early in the trading day, a base to develop over several hours, and then a continuation on Thursday and Friday for another 10% to 15% from here. These short term bear market rallies are hands down the best market environments to trade the bull side. The problem is that it would also require sitting on one’s hands for several days, weeks even, keeping the powder dry. Since most full time traders can’t sit out from the market for sustained periods, there is a tendency to give gains back.
Remember, it’s times like these when fortunes are made. Contrarian traders have to buy when most market participants think their stocks are going to be worthless, and sell when these participants think they’ve missed the boat. Now is the time for the former so get your buy orders ready, and let’s make some money.
It’s great to be a global macro equity trader right now for a couple of reasons I’ll get to in just a second. But first, it’s not often there are widespread global macro strategies being employed by various market participants. Whether you know it or not, there’s a good chance your portfolio has a little […]
